[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 270835
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED JUL 27 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SAT JUL 30 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

35.7N  68.2W      36  1  X  X 37   EASTPORT ME        X  X  1  6  7
37.6N  66.9W       3 17  1  1 22   ST JOHN NB         X  X  1  7  8
39.7N  64.5W       X  2 11  3 16   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  7  7
BERMUDA            X  2  2  1  5   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  3  7 10
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  1  1  2   HALIFAX NS         X  X  1  9 10
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  1  3  2  6   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X 10 10
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  4  2  6   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  8  8
NANTUCKET MA       X  1  7  1  9   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  9  9
HYANNIS MA         X  1  5  2  8   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  6  6
BOSTON MA          X  X  4  2  6   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  5  5
PORTLAND ME        X  X  2  3  5   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  5  5
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  2  5  7   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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