[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jul 26 21:32:09 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 270231
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST TUE JUL 26 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  68.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST FRI JUL 29 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.4N  68.4W      34  1  X  X 35   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  6  6
36.0N  67.8W       6 12  2  X 20   BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  X  7  7
38.0N  66.5W       X  3 10  3 16   EASTPORT ME        X  X  X  7  7
BERMUDA            3  5  2  1 11   ST JOHN NB         X  X  X  6  6
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  2  1  3   MONCTON NB         X  X  X  5  5
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  2  2  4   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  8  8
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  2  3  5   HALIFAX NS         X  X  X  7  7
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  3  4  7   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  5  5
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  2  5  7   SYDNEY NS          X  X  X  3  3
NANTUCKET MA       X  X  4  6 10   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  X  5  5
HYANNIS MA         X  X  3  6  9   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  X  2  2
BOSTON MA          X  X  2  5  7

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
C FROM  8AM THU TO  8PM THU
D FROM  8PM THU TO  8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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