[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 252034
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT MON JUL 25 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT THU JUL 28 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.6N  69.0W      99  X  X  X 99   PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  2  2
32.3N  68.5W      32  1  X  1 34   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  4  4
33.5N  68.0W       7  9  3  2 21   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  3  3
BERMUDA            X  3  4  4 11   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  2  2
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  2  2   YARMOUTH NS        X  X  X  2  2
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
C FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
D FROM  2PM WED TO  2PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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