[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 251428
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT MON JUL 25 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  69.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT THU JUL 28 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.7N  68.5W      45  X  X  X 45   BERMUDA            X  3  6  5 14
32.2N  68.0W      23  2  X  1 26   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  X  2  2
32.9N  67.3W      10  6  2  2 20   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  3  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
C FROM  8PM TUE TO  8AM WED
D FROM  8AM WED TO  8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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