[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Jul 24 03:45:12 CDT 2005


WTNT72 KNHC 240839
SPFAT2
TROPICAL STORM GERT PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF GERT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT WED JUL 27 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

22.0N  98.5W      43  X  X  X 43   MMTX 210N 974W    57  X  X  X 57
22.8N  99.9W      17 10  X  X 27   MMVR 192N 961W     2  X  X  X  2
                  99  X  X  X 99   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  2  X  X  2
MMSO 238N 982W    14  6  X  X 20   GULF 25N 96W       1  2  X  X  3
MMTM 222N 979W    48  X  X  X 48

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
C FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
D FROM  1AM TUE TO  1AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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