[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Jul 23 21:41:35 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 240240
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT JUL 23 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  72.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE JUL 26 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

31.5N  69.5W      41  X  X  X 41   32.5N  67.0W       7  9  2  1 19
32.0N  68.0W      21  2  1  X 24   BERMUDA            X  7  4  3 14

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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