[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Fri Jul 22 21:47:11 CDT 2005


WTNT71 KNHC 230246
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI JUL 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT MON JUL 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.7N  74.1W      31  1  X  X 32   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  1  1  X  2
31.5N  72.2W       2 17  3  1 23   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  2  1  1  4
32.2N  69.9W       X  2 12  4 18   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  2  2
BERMUDA            X  X  X  9  9

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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