[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 220831
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI JUL 22 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT MON JUL 25 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

29.0N  77.6W      45  X  X  X 45   JACKSONVILLE FL    1  3  2  1  7
29.9N  76.8W      27  2  X  X 29   SAVANNAH GA        X  3  3  3  9
30.5N  75.5W      10 10  2  1 23   CHARLESTON SC      X  3  4  4 11
MYGF 266N 787W    38  X  1  X 39   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  1  5  6 12
W PALM BEACH FL    6  1  X  X  7   WILMINGTON NC      X  1  4  6 11
FT PIERCE FL      10  X  1  X 11   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  3  8 11
COCOA BEACH FL     8  2  X  X 10   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  2  7  9
DAYTONA BEACH FL   4  3  1  1  9   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  4  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
C FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
D FROM  2AM SUN TO  2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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