[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT71 KNHC 220248
SPFAT1
TROPICAL STORM FRANKLIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU JUL 21 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FRANKLIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SUN JUL 24 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

28.5N  77.4W      49  X  X  X 49   CHARLESTON SC      X  2  4  6 12
29.5N  77.1W      30  1  X  1 32   MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  1  4  7 12
30.0N  76.5W      21  3  1  1 26   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  3  8 11
MYNN 251N 775W     1  X  X  2  3   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  2  8 10
MYGF 266N 787W    25  X  X  X 25   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1  7  8
MIAMI FL           X  1  X  1  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  3  3
W PALM BEACH FL    5  X  1  1  7   FT MYERS FL        X  X  1  1  2
FT PIERCE FL       7  2  1  1 11   VENICE FL          X  X  1  1  2
COCOA BEACH FL     7  3  1  1 12   TAMPA FL           X  1  1  1  3
DAYTONA BEACH FL   2  6  2  2 12   CEDAR KEY FL       X  1  1  2  4
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  4  3  4 11   ST MARKS FL        X  X  1  2  3
SAVANNAH GA        X  2  4  5 11

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER KNABB


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