[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 211512
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT THU JUL 21 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HAS ISSUED THE FINAL ADVISORY ON
WEAKENING TROPICAL DEPRESSION EMILY... LOCATED INLAND OVER NORTHERN
MEXICO ABOUT 35 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SALTILLO MEXICO.

A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...THE TURKS AND CAICOS
ISLANDS...AND ADJACENT WATERS OF THE WESTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN.
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE AND BECOME BETTER
ORGANZIED...AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS...SATELLITE IMAGERY...AND
RADAR DATA SUGGEST THAT A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAY BE
FORMING OVER THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.  UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO GRADUALLY BECOME MORE FAVORABLE...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A
TROPICAL STORM COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR TOMORROW AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WILL INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM
THIS AFTERNOON.

A TROPICAL WAVE IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN CARIBEBAN SEA AND ADJACENT LAND
AREAS OF CENTRAL AMERICA. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...BELIZE...GUATEMALA
...AND HONDURAS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...BRINGING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL TO THOSE AREAS. THE WAVE MAY EMERGE OVER THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE IN 2 OR 3 DAYS...AT WHICH TIME SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT
OF THE SYSTEM WOULD BE POSSIBLE.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

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