[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 20 15:38:10 CDT 2005


WTNT75 KNHC 202037
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  41
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT WED JUL 20 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  99.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.1N 103.0W      40  X  X  X 40   MMSO 238N 982W     7  X  X  X  7
                  99  X  X  X 99   BROWNSVILLE TX     6  X  X  X  6
                  99  X  X  X 99

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM THU TO  1AM FRI
C FROM  1AM FRI TO  1PM FRI
D FROM  1PM FRI TO  1PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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