[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Jul 20 03:32:25 CDT 2005


WTNT75 KNHC 200831
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  39
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT WED JUL 20 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  97.2 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT SAT JUL 23 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

24.8N 100.7W      40  X  X  X 40   MMSO 238N 982W    51  X  X  X 51
                  99  X  X  X 99   BROWNSVILLE TX    65  X  X  X 65
                  99  X  X  X 99   GULF 25N 96W      99  X  X  X 99

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM THU TO  1PM THU
C FROM  1PM THU TO  1AM FRI
D FROM  1AM FRI TO  1AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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