[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jul 19 22:16:55 CDT 2005


WTUS84 KBRO 200316 AAA
HLSBRO
TXZ248>257-200515-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...UPDATED TO INCLUDE FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1014 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2005

...MAJOR HURRICANE EMILY SLOWLY APPROACHING THE COAST OF
NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...
...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST
FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE...
...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF COAST FROM
BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF
COAST FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD...
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ZAPATA...
BROOKS...JIM HOGG...HIDALGO AND STARR COUNTIES IN DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS...
...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH 1
AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT ACROSS DEEP SOUTH TEXAS THROUGH 1 AM
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS ACROSS
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE WHICH INCLUDES THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: ZAPATA...STARR...JIM HOGG...BROOKS...HIDALGO...
CAMERON...WILLACY AND KENEDY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT 10 PM CDT...RECREATIONAL VEHICLES WERE ORDERED TO EVACUATE
FROM CAMERON COUNTY BEACH AREAS YESTERDAY...BUT NO OTHER
EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN DECLARED FOR CAMERON...WILLACY...AND KENEDY
COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...PORT
ISABEL...AND PORT MANSFIELD. COUNTY AND CITY OFFICIALS WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY. A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
ALL OF DEEP SOUTH TEXAS BY THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES ASSOCIATED WITH RAINBANDS MOVING INLAND THIS EVENING. A
FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT TONIGHT FOR ALL DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.4 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES...
SOUTHEAST OF MATAMOROS MEXICO AND ABOUT 120 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF
BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 945 MILLIBARS.

EMILY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. A GENERAL
WESTWARD MOTION NEAR 10 MPH IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN AND CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY. GIVEN THIS TRACK...EMILY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL
BETWEEN 6 AND 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING APPROXIMATELY 85 MILES SOUTH
OF BROWNSVILLE...OR ABOUT 60 MILES NORTH OF LA PESCA MEXICO.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
THE TEXAS DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY HAS CLOSED EASTBOUND TRAFFIC
OVER QUEEN ISABELLA MEMORIAL CAUSEWAY. RESIDENTS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND OTHER GOVERNMENT
OFFICIALS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE PREDICTED TO RUN 1.7 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW WATER
AT 616 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK OF
EMILY...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE 7 TO 10 FEET ALONG THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST. THE COMBINATION OF HIGH TIDE...STORM SURGE...AND VERY
ROUGH SURF ON WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING ALONG
SOUTH AND EAST FACING SHORES OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND.

...WIND IMPACTS...
AT 10 PM CDT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WITH HURRICANE EMILY ARE
NEAR 125 MPH. EMILY IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE STRENGTHENING OVER THE
WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO AND COULD BECOME A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE
BEFORE LANDFALL. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL AREAS WITH WIND GUSTS TO
HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD THIS EVENING AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...OTHER IMPACTS...
THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS IS HIGH AS EMILY APPROACHES. SEAS HAVE
INCREASED TO 18 FEET ACROSS THE OUTER COASTAL WATERS AND WAVES
OF 20 AND 25 FEET ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT. WAVES WILL BEGIN TO
SUBSIDE ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES ARE
EXPECTED OVER DEEP SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE EMILY. ISOLATED AMOUNTS
OF 6 TO 8 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE
DANGER POSED BY FLOODING RAINS. NEVER DRIVE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN
DEPTH. REMEMBER...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND MIDNIGHT
CDT.

$$

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