[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jul 19 15:36:35 CDT 2005


WTNT75 KNHC 192035
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT TUE JUL 19 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1PM CDT FRI JUL 22 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

24.7N  99.3W      40  X  X  X 40   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   2  2  X  X  4
24.7N 101.5W      19  9  X  X 28   BROWNSVILLE TX    44  X  X  X 44
                  99  X  X  X 99   GULF 27N 96W       6  1  X  X  7
MMSO 238N 982W    38  X  X  X 38   GULF 25N 96W      99  X  X  X 99
MMTM 222N 979W     1  1  X  X  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1PM WED TO  1AM THU
C FROM  1AM THU TO  1PM THU
D FROM  1PM THU TO  1PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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