[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jul 19 10:05:48 CDT 2005


WTUS84 KBRO 191505
HLSBRO
TXZ248>257-191700-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
1004 AM CDT TUE JUL 19 2005

...HURRICANE EMILY BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO...
...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER TEXAS COAST
FROM PORT MANSFIELD TO BROWNSVILLE...
...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF COAST FROM
BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE TEXAS GULF
COAST FROM BAFFIN BAY TO PORT MANSFIELD...
...INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ZAPATA...
BROOKS...JIM HOGG...HIDALGO AND STARR COUNTIES IN DEEP SOUTH
TEXAS...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS ACROSS
DEEP SOUTH TEXAS AND THE LOWER TEXAS COASTLINE WHICH INCLUDES THE
FOLLOWING COUNTIES: ZAPATA...STARR...JIM HOGG...BROOKS...HIDALGO...
CAMERON...WILLACY AND KENEDY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT 7 AM CDT...EMERGENCY OFFICIALS DETERMINED RECREATIONAL
VEHICLES SHOULD HAVE COMPLETED EVACUATION FROM CAMERON COUNTY BEACH
AREAS. NO OTHER EVACUATION RECOMMENDATIONS HAVE BEEN MADE FOR
CAMERON...WILLACY...AND KENEDY COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF
SOUTH PADRE ISLAND...PORT ISABEL...AND PORT MANSFIELD. COUNTY AND
CITY OFFICIALS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF EMILY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 10 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.5 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES...
EAST OF LA PESCA MEXICO AND ABOUT 235 MILES...SOUTHEAST OF
BROWNSVILLE TEXAS. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE WAS 972 MILLIBARS.

EMILY IS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN
TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. GIVEN THIS
TRACK...EMILY IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL AROUND 5 AM CDT WEDNESDAY
MORNING APPROXIMATELY 95 MILES SOUTH OF BROWNSVILLE...OR ABOUT 50
MILES NORTH OF LA PESCA MEXICO.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS SHOULD FOLLOW THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND
OTHER GOVERNMENT OFFICIALS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
TIDES ARE PREDICTED TO RUN 1.5 TO 2 FEET ABOVE MEAN LOWER LOW
WATER AROUND 6 AM CDT WEDNESDAY MORNING. GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK OF
EMILY...STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO BE 5 TO 7 FEET ALONG THE LOWER
TEXAS COAST. THE COMBINATION OF HIGH TIDE...STORM SURGE...AND VERY
ROUGH SURF ON WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING ALONG
SOUTH AND EAST FACING SHORES OF SOUTH PADRE ISLAND.

...WIND IMPACTS...
AT 10 AM CDT...MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS WITH HURRICANE EMILY ARE NEAR
90 MPH. EMILY IS EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE
LATER TODAY AS IT MOVES WEST NORTHWEST ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO. THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALONG THE LOWER
TEXAS COASTAL WATERS TODAY AND TONIGHT. SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR TROPICAL
STORM FORCE ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE LOWER TEXAS COASTAL AREAS WITH
WIND GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE POSSIBLE SOUTH OF PORT MANSFIELD THIS
EVENING AND EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...OTHER IMPACTS...
THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL BE HIGH TODAY AS EMILY APPROACHES.
WAVES WILL INCREASE TO 12 TO 15 FEET OFFSHORE TODAY WITH WAVES UP TO
18 FEET POSSIBLE TONIGHT. WAVES WILL BEGIN TO SUBSIDE ON
WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVER DEEP
SOUTH TEXAS WITH HURRICANE EMILY. ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 12 TO 15
INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. ALL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE AWARE OF THE DANGER
POSED BY FLOODING RAINS. NEVER DRIVE INTO WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH.
REMEMBER...TURN AROUND DON'T DROWN.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1200 PM
CDT.

$$

MARTIN/CASTILLO
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