[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jul 19 03:31:43 CDT 2005


WTNT75 KNHC 190831
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  34
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT TUE JUL 19 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  93.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT FRI JUL 22 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

24.5N  97.3W      45  X  X  X 45   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  3  2  X  5
24.5N  99.6W      15 15  X  X 30   BROWNSVILLE TX    24  3  X  X 27
24.5N 102.0W       X 18  5  X 23   GULF 27N 96W       6  4  X  X 10
MMSO 238N 982W    33  X  X  X 33   GULF 25N 96W      53  X  X  X 53
MMTM 222N 979W     5  3  2  X 10

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM WED TO  1PM WED
C FROM  1PM WED TO  1AM THU
D FROM  1AM THU TO  1AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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