[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 180841
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  88.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT THU JUL 21 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

22.9N  92.8W      45  X  X  X 45   GALVESTON TX       X  X  1  2  3
23.8N  95.2W       3 27  X  X 30   FREEPORT TX        X  X  1  4  5
24.4N  97.7W       X 16  7  1 24   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  4  4  8
MMCZ 205N 869W    99  X  X  X 99   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  8  5 13
MMSO 238N 982W     X 13  8  1 22   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  8 11  2 21
MMTM 222N 979W     X  8  6  2 16   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  1  2  3
MMTX 210N 974W     X  3  4  3 10   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  4  3  7
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  X  2  2   GULF 27N 96W       X  3  9  2 14
MMMD 210N 897W    80  X  X  X 80   GULF 25N 96W       X 21  4  X 25

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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