[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 170840
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SUN JUL 17 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT WED JUL 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

20.2N  87.4W      45  1  X  X 46   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2
21.5N  90.2W       X 31  X  X 31   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  4  4
22.7N  93.0W       X  9 15  1 25   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  6  6
MWCG 193N 814W    40  X  X  X 40   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  7  7
MUAN 219N 850W     8  3  X  1 12   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  9  9
MMCZ 205N 869W    45  1  X  X 46   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X 10 10
MZBZ 175N 883W     4  X  X  1  5   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  3 11 14
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  4 11 15   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  2  2
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  4 10 14   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  1  3  4
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  4  8 12   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  1  6  7
MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  2  6  8   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  1  8  9
MMFR 185N 926W     X  2  3  2  7   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  2 11 13
MMMD 210N 897W     4 29  X  X 33   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  9  8 17

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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