[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 160834
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT JUL 16 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  75.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE JUL 19 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

17.5N  81.5W      48  1  X  X 49   MMVR 192N 961W     X  X  X  2  2
18.9N  84.7W       1 34  1  X 36   MMFR 185N 926W     X  X  1  7  8
20.3N  87.6W       X  6 22  1 29   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X 18  7 25
MKJP 179N 768W    22  X  X  X 22   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  2  2
MKJS 185N 779W    21  X  X  X 21   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  3  3
MWCG 193N 814W    25 10  X  X 35   GALVESTON TX       X  X  X  5  5
MUSN 216N 826W     X 11  3  X 14   FREEPORT TX        X  X  X  5  5
MUHA 230N 824W     X  2  1  1  4   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  X  6  6
MUAN 219N 850W     X 10 12  X 22   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  5  5
MMCZ 205N 869W     X 11 19  X 30   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  X  8  8
MZBZ 175N 883W     X  2 10  2 14   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  X  4  4
MGPB 157N 886W     X  X  1  2  3   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  7  7
MHNJ 165N 859W     X 10  3  X 13   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  9  9
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  X  9  9
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  X  4  4   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  X 10 10
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  X  3  3   GULF 25N 96W       X  X  X 13 13

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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