[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 141434
SPFAT5
HURRICANE EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU JUL 14 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.0 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST SUN JUL 17 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

14.5N  69.9W      50  2  X  X 52   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  2 11 13
15.6N  73.3W       X 34  2  X 36   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X 13 13
17.0N  76.8W       X  2 25  X 27   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X 17 17
SKPG 125N 717W     4  5  X  X  9   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X 11 11
TNCC 122N 690W    12  1  X  X 13   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X 14 14
SVMG 110N 640W     2  X  X  X  2   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X 12 12
MDSD 185N 697W     1  6  X  X  7   MZBZ 175N 883W     X  X  X  3  3
MDCB 176N 714W     1 24  1  X 26   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  X  6  6
MTPP 186N 724W     X 12  7  X 19   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  X  2  2
MTCA 183N 738W     X 11 14  X 25   MDPP 198N 707W     X  2  1  X  3
MKJP 179N 768W     X  1 24  2 27   MMMD 210N 897W     X  X  X  3  3
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X 18  7 25   MARATHON FL        X  X  X  2  2
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  1 21 22   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X  3  3
MUGM 200N 751W     X  X 12  3 15

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
C FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
D FROM  8AM SAT TO  8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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