[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 132032
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED JUL 13 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  59.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SAT JUL 16 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

12.8N  65.5W      50  1  X  X 51   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  8  3 11
13.8N  68.6W       1 33  X  1 35   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X 14  5 19
14.7N  71.7W       X  4 22  1 27   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  5 10 15
SKPG 125N 717W     X  3 13  X 16   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  3 15 18
TNCC 122N 690W     X 20  2  X 22   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X 21 21
SVMG 110N 640W    32  X  X  X 32   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X 19 19
TTPP 106N 614W    34  X  X  X 34   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 10 10
TTPT 112N 608W    99  X  X  X 99   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X 12 12
TGPY 120N 618W    91  X  X  X 91   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  7  7
TBPB 131N 595W    51  X  X  X 51   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  4  4
TVSV 131N 612W    77  X  X  X 77   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W    27  X  X  X 27   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  1  1  X  2
TFFF 146N 610W     2  X  X  X  2   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  2  4  6
80400 157N 636W    7  1  X  X  8   SAN JUAN PR        X  1  1  X  2
TJPS 180N 666W     X  2  2  X  4   PONCE PR           X  2  2  X  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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