[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 130832
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST WED JUL 13 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST SAT JUL 16 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

12.4N  61.7W      48  1  X  X 49   TISX 177N 648W     X  2  9  1 12
13.3N  64.8W       1 32  1  X 34   TIST 183N 650W     X  1  6  1  8
14.3N  67.9W       X  3 23  1 27   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X 11  3 14
SKPG 125N 717W     X  X  2 10 12   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  3 13 16
TNCC 122N 690W     X  1 11  3 15   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  2 19 21
SVMG 110N 640W     3 16  X  X 19   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X 18 18
TTPP 106N 614W    22  1  X  X 23   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X 19 19
TTPT 112N 608W    42  X  X  X 42   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X 13 13
TGPY 120N 618W    44  1  X  X 45   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  9  9
TBPB 131N 595W    62  X  X  X 62   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X 11 11
TVSV 131N 612W    51  1  X  X 52   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W    44  1  X  X 45   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  7  3 10
TFFF 146N 610W    27  4  X  X 31   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X 11 11
TDPR 153N 614W    11 10  X  X 21   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  3  3
80400 157N 636W    1 22  1  1 25   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  2  2
TFFR 163N 615W     2  6  1  X  9   ST CROIX VI        X  2  9  1 12
TAPA 171N 618W     X  4  X  X  4   ST THOMAS VI       X  1  6  1  8
TKPK 173N 627W     X  4  2  1  7   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  7  3 10
TNCM 181N 631W     X  1  2  1  4   PONCE PR           X  X 11  3 14

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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