[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 120831
SPFAT5
TROPICAL STORM EMILY PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE JUL 12 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EMILY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  48.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST FRI JUL 15 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

12.9N  53.5W      52  X  X  X 52   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  3 19 22
13.6N  56.4W       1 32  1  X 34   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  1 19 20
14.4N  59.6W       X  4 22  1 27   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X 21 21
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  X  3  3   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X 20 20
TTPP 106N 614W     X  X  2  1  3   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X 20 20
TTPT 112N 608W     X  X  4  3  7   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  X 10 10
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X  6  4 10   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X  4  4
TBPB 131N 595W     X  5 17  X 22   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  2  2
TVSV 131N 612W     X  X 14  4 18   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X 19 19
TLPL 138N 610W     X  X 18  4 22   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  5  5
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X 20  4 24   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  2  2
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X 17  8 25   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X 21 21
80400 157N 636W    X  X  3 20 23   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X 20 20
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X 12 12 24   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X 19 19
TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  7 15 22   PONCE PR           X  X  X 20 20

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM WED TO  2PM WED
C FROM  2PM WED TO  2AM THU
D FROM  2AM THU TO  2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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