[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT75 KNHC 110237
SPFAT5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN JUL 10 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  42.9 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST WED JUL 13 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

11.5N  46.7W      46  X  X  X 46   TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  X 10 10
12.1N  49.0W      17 16  X  X 33   80400 157N 636W    X  X  X  4  4
12.8N  51.7W       X 16  9  1 26   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X 10 10
TTPP 106N 614W     X  X  X  3  3   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  9  9
TTPT 112N 608W     X  X  X  5  5   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  7  7
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X  X  4  4   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  6  6
TBPB 131N 595W     X  X  X 12 12   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X  3  3
TVSV 131N 612W     X  X  X  7  7   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  2  2
TLPL 138N 610W     X  X  X  9  9   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X  3  3
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  X 10 10   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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