[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Jul 10 21:22:09 CDT 2005


WTNT74 KNHC 110221
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT WED JUL 13 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

36.4N  89.4W      41  X  X  X 41   38.4N  89.0W      17  4  1  1 23
37.7N  89.4W      26  1  1  X 28   PENSACOLA FL       2  X  X  X  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM MON TO  7AM TUE
C FROM  7AM TUE TO  7PM TUE
D FROM  7PM TUE TO  7PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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