[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 101954
HLSTAE

ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-102200-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
354 PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005

...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER
WEST...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT EAST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER...
...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...
...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT (11 PM CDT)...
...A FLOOD WARNING IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 5 PM EDT FOR MUCH OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EXTREME SOUTHERN GEORGIA...
...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
WALTON...BAY...GULF AND FRANKLIN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF WAKULLA...JEFFERSON...TAYLOR AND
DIXIE. AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR
FLORIDA PANHANDLE. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA. A TORNADO WATCH
IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT (11 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN
EFFECT
THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 2 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED AT LATITUDE
30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.0 WEST...OR ABOUT 20 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST
OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 80 MILES WEST OF PANAMA
CITY AND 120 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DOTHAN. DENNIS IS MOVING JUST WEST
OF DUE NORTH AT NEAR 17 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS
THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST BETWEEN GULF BREEZE AND NAVARRE
AROUND 330 PM EDT (230 PM CDT). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 120
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR
TO LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 943 MB...OR 27.85
INCHES.

...WIND IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE TO AT OR NEAR TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM
DESTIN EAST TO WAKULLA COUNTY. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY
REACH THE COAST MAINLY FROM PANAMA CITY WESTWARD THIS AFTERNOON.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS AND HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS MAY EXTEND
INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
(WALTON...HOLMES... WASHINGTON AND BAY COUNTIES). THE CHANCE OF
INLAND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS FARTHER EAST HAS DIMINISHED. THE
FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND REPORTS AT 1 PM CDT:

TALLAHASSEE...30 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 43 MPH.
EGLIN AFB...36 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 56 MPH.
BAINBRIDGE...23 MPH GUSTS OF 33 MPH.
PANAMA CITY...23 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 45 MPH.
MARIANNA...20 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 33 MPH.
CRESTVIEW...28 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 58 MPH.
DOTHAN...31 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 47 MPH.
OZARK...29 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 41 MPH.
PERRY...24 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
CROSS CITY...17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 31 MPH.
CEDAR KEY...39 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 43 MPH.
C TOWER...48 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 56 MPH.
BUOY 42039 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 49 MPH.
BUOY 42036 (APALACHICOLA BUOY)...40 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 52 MPH.

...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION...
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL HAS ALREADY FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND AND FAR SOUTHERN GEORGIA. THESE AREAS HAVE RECEIVED 4 TO 5
INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO 8 INCHES.
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS HAS ALREADY OCCURRED
AND WILL CONTINUE IN THESE AREAS...AND WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER
AREAS FURTHER NORTH AND WEST.

SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THROUGH 2 PM CDT...

TALLAHASSEE  5.29 INCHES
IRON CITY    4.64 INCHES
BAINBRIDGE   4.35 INCHES
DESTIN       4.00 INCHES
PANAMA CITY  3.32 INCHES
DOTHAN       2.67 INCHES

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST...STORM SURGES HAVE BEEN SIGNIFICANT. THE
BEACHES OF SOUTH WALTON COUNTY COULD SEE 8 TO 10 FOOT SURGES. BAY
AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES HAVE EXPERIENCED A 6 TO 8 FOOT SURGE. ALL OF
THESE EXPOSED AREAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE SEVERE BEACH EROSION AS
LARGE BATTERING WAVES...SIMILAR TO LAST YEARS HURRICANE
IVAN...STRIKE THE COAST. THE LATEST SEA HEIGHTS MEASURED AT THE
OFFSHORE BUOYS WERE 22 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF PANAMA CITY...AND
21 FEET AT THE BUOY SOUTH OF APALACHICOLA.

STORM TIDES HAVE RISEN TO 9 FEET TODAY IN WAKULLA COUNTY AND 8 TO 10
FEET IN FRANKLIN COUNTY. LITTLE IF ANY ADDITIONAL RISES ARE
EXPECTED. WATER HAS PUSHED ACROSS ROUTE 98 NEAR APALACHICOLA AND
THERE HAS BEEN STRUCTURAL DAMAGE THERE SIMILAR TO WHAT WAS OBSERVED
IN 1985 WITH KATE AND ELENA. THE SHIELDS MARINA ON THE SAINT MARKS
RIVER IS COMPLETELY FLOODED. TO THE EAST...TOTAL STORM TIDES WILL
REACH 5 TO 6 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG THE EASTERN TAYLOR COUNTY COAST
AND DOWN DOWN THE BIG BEND TO THE SUWANNEE RIVER. TAYLOR AND DIXIE
COUNTIES HAVE REPORTED 1 1/2 FOOT DEEP WATER OVER SEVERAL ROADS IN
STEINHATCHEE AND JENA. SLIGHT RISES WILL CONTINUE THERE DUE TO
ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.

NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS...

SHELL POINT...
TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM.

APALACHICOLA...
TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM.

PORT SAINT JOE...
TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM.

PANAMA CITY...
TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM.

DESTIN...
TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM.

...RIP CURRENTS...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING
SURF AND WINDS.

...TORNADO THREAT...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 6 PM EDT.

$$

WOOL/GOREE
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