[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 101702
HLSMOB
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101902-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1126 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005

...SINCE 8 AM CDT DENNIS MAINTAINS AN OVERALL NORTHWEST MOTION
DESPITE TEMPORARY WOBBLES TO THE EAST AND WEST OF THE TRACK...

...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS...

...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
NO WATCHES OR WARNINGS HAVE CHANGED SINCE THE LAST
HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT.  FOR THE LATEST BREAKDOWN ON TROPICAL
WARNING PRODUCTS PLEASE SEE THE BHMNPWMOB PRODUCT.  A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.  FOR THE LATEST PLEASE SEE SEE THE PRODUCT BHMFFAMOB.

A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 200 PM.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT NOON CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 29.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.9 WEST...OR ABOUT 60 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.  DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH.  ON THIS TRACK...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO
MAKE LANDFALL THIS AFTERNOON SOMEWHERE BETWEEN GULF SHORES ALABAMA
AND PENSACOLA FLORIDA.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NOW NEAR 140
MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS
POSSIBLE PRIOR TO LANDFALL.  HOWEVER...DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO REACH
THE COAST NEAR THE CATEGORY THREE/FOUR THRESHOLD ON THE SAFFIR-
SIMPSON SCALE.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
AT THIS TIME...ALL PRECAUTIONARY AND PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS
SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.  IF YOU DID NOT EVACUATE...SEEK
SHELTER IN THE STURDIEST INTERIOR STRUCTURE YOU CAN FIND. SHELTERS
ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA OFFICE...WATCH
LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE SHELTERS.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDDAY. BECAUSE OF THE
SMALL DIAMETER OF DENNIS...STORM SURGE VALUES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED
DOWN TO BETWEEN 10 AND 14 FEET.  THE LATEST TRACK PLACES THE GREATEST
STORM SURGE HAZARD FROM GULF SHORES EAST TO ESCAMBIA BAY FLORIDA.
THUS FAR...STORM TIDES HAVE NOT EXCEEDED 4 FEET AT ANY ONE LOCATION
BUT RAPID RISES IN WATER LEVELS ARE IN STORE LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
BE PREPARED!

...WIND IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER ARE NOW OCCURRING
ALONG THE IMMEDIATE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA COASTS.  HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA BY
NOON AND WILL PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING. DENNIS IS EXPECTED TO
POSSIBLY BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL.  THIS WOULD RESULT IN
EXTREME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD INTO
THE INLAND COUNTIES THIS EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING NEAR
THE CENTER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF DENNIS.  AFTER LANDFALL...THE
CENTER OF DENNIS IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS BALDWIN...
CLARKE...CHOCTAW....ESCAMBIA AND MONROE COUNTIES OF ALABAMA THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  COUNTIES ON EITHER SIDE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED
SHOULD REMAIN ABREAST OF THE LATEST TRACK FORECAST AS UPDATES
OCCUR. EXTENSIVE TO EXTREME TORNADO-LIKE WIND DAMAGE IS POSSIBLE
AROUND...AND ESPECIALLY JUST TO THE IMMEDIATE EAST OF DENNIS' EYE AS
IT MOVES INLAND.  THE WINDS FROM DENNIS WOULD BE MUCH HIGHER THAN
HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004.

...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS...
STAY OUT OF THE WATER.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE
RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY THROUGH MONDAY.  DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE
WATER TONIGHT OR ON MONDAY!  RESIDUAL RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWNWARD SLIGHTLY DUE
TO A FASTER FORWARD MOTION FROM DENNIS.  WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS
OF BETWEEN 5 AND 7 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 10
INCHES. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE SATURATED AND RAINFALL RUNOFF WILL BE
RAPID...ESPECIALLY NEAR RURAL CREEKS AND STREAMS AND OVER URBAN
CONCRETE SURFACES.  IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED WHILE DRIVING...
REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND AND DON'T DROWN.

...TORNADO THREAT...
THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD BEGIN TO INCREASE AS THE CENTER OF DENNIS
PASSES WEST OF ANY COASTAL LOCATION.  USUALLY...THE GREATEST THREAT
FOR HURRICANE INDUCED TORNADOES IS IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS NORTHEAST
OF THE STORM'S CENTER. A SECOND TORNADO THREAT WILL BE CONCENTRATED
AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. OBVIOUSLY...THIS WILL BE DURING THE
AFTERNOON.  STAY TUNED FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS LATER TODAY.

...NEW INFORMATION...
MAXIMUM STORM SURGE VALUES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED UPWARD NEAR AND TO THE
RIGHT OF DENNIS AT LANDFALL.  THE LATEST TRACK PLACES THE GREATEST
STORM SURGE HAZARD FROM GULF SHORES EAST TO ESCAMBIA BAY FLORIDA.

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENTS WILL BE PREPARED EVERY ONE TO TWO HOURS
AND WILL REFLECT THE LATEST RADAR TRENDS OF THE SHORT-TERM MOVEMENT
OF DENNIS. THIS PRODUCT WILL BE SHORTENED TO REFLECT AND FOCUS ON THE
MOST IMPORTANT INFORMATION AS DENNIS EVOLVES.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
130 PM CDT...OR EARLIER IF NEEDED.

$$

MEDLIN
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