[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KTAE 101223
HLSTAE

GMZ750-755-770-775-ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-
142>148-155>161-101715-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
822 AM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005

...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE STEINHATCHEE RIVER
WESTWARD...
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF THE STEINHATCHEE
RIVER...
...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA
PANHANDLE...
...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME
SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND...
...A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT)...
...A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF THE
FLORIDA BIG BEND AND EASTERN PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA...AND
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA.

...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF
WALTON...BAY...GULF...FRANKLIN...WAKULLA...JEFFERSON AND TAYLOR.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DIXIE COUNTY. AN INLAND
HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE INTERIOR FLORIDA PANHANDLE.
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA AND THE INTERIOR FLORIDA BIG BEND. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN
EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM EDT (2 PM CDT). A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH
TONIGHT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 6 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST OR ABOUT 165 MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA AND ABOUT 200 MILES SOUTH OF
DOTHAN ALABAMA. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 15
MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. ON THIS TRACK
THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL CROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
COAST LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...WITH
HIGHER GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY PRIOR TO
LANDFALL. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230
MILES. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 931 MB...OR 27.49 INCHES.

...WIND IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...WINDS WILL INCREASE TO NEAR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST FROM DESTIN TO SHELL POINT
EARLY THIS MORNING. GUSTS TO HURRICANE FORCE WINDS MAY REACH THE
COAST LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM FORCE AND EVENTUALLY
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL EXTEND INLAND OVER THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
THIS AFTERNOON. IF DENNIS TURNS SLIGHTLY TO THE EAST...THE FLORIDA
BIG BEND...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST GEORGIA COULD
RECEIVE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS. THE FOLLOWING ARE SOME LOCAL WIND
REPORTS AT 7 AM EDT:

APALACHICOLA...32 KNOTS GUSTS OF 43.
PANAMA CITY...25 KNOTS GUSTS OF 35.
BUOY 42309 (PANAMA CITY BUOY)...47 KNOTS GUSTS OF 56.
BUOY 42036 (APALACHICOLA BUOY)...41 KNOTS GUSTS OF 54.

PEAK WIND GUSTS SO FAR INCLUDE:
TALLAHASSEE...EAST AT 28 KTS
APALACHICOLA...EAST AT 36 KTS
PANAMA CITY...EAST AT 36 KTS
VALDOSTA...SOUTH AT 35 KTS.

...RAINFALL AND FLOOD POTENTIAL INFORMATION...
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL WILL OCCUR OVER A LARGE SWATH AS THE HURRICANE
MOVES INLAND. THE HEAVIEST RAIN IS LIKELY TO FALL OVER THE FLORIDA
PANHANDLE FROM THE APALACHICOLA RIVER WESTWARD AND INTO SOUTHEAST
ALABAMA WHERE TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. OVER THE FLORIDA BIG BEND AND SOUTHWEST
AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED HIGHER
AMOUNTS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THE ONLY RIVER CURRENTLY AT FLOOD STAGE
ARE BLOUNTSTOWN ON THE APALACHICOLA RIVER.  SOILS ARE VERY WET.
SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS IN THE AREA WILL FLOOD RAPIDLY IF 3 TO 5
INCHES OF RAIN FALL IN LOCALIZED AREAS WITHIN TWO HOURS.

SOME STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS FOR DENNIS THOUGH 8 AM EDT...

SEA HAG MARINA(STEINHATCHEE) 2.70 INCHES
TALLAHASSEE   2.76 INCHES
APALACHICOLA  2.46 INCHES
PERRY         2.23 INCHES
CROSS CITY    2.14 INCHES
DOTHAN        1.77 INCHES
PANAMA CITY   1.39 INCHES
DOWLING PARK  1.30 INCHES
VALDOSTA      1.15 INCHES
NEWTON        1.15 INCHES
GENEVA        1.02 INCHES


...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
THE STORM SURGE HAS ALREADY BEGAN ALONG THE COAST THIS MORNING. WITH
THE CENTER OF DENNIS MOVING INLAND OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE
AS A MAJOR HURRICANE LATE THIS AFTERNOON...STORM SURGES WILL RANGE
FROM 8 TO 12 FEET FROM PANAMA CITY BEACH WEST THROUGH DESTIN...WITH 6
TO 8 FOOT SURGES EAST OF PANAMA CITY BEACH TO SAINT GEORGE ISLAND.
STORM SURGES FROM SAINT GEORGE ISLAND EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG
BEND COAST TO WAKULLA COUNTY WILL BE FROM 4 TO 6 FEET. STORM SURGES
FROM WAKULLA COUNTY TO WESTERN TAYLOR COUNTY WILL BE FROM 5 TO 7
FEET. FROM EASTERN TAYLOR TO DIXIE COUNTY STORM SURGES WILL BE 4 TO
5 FEET. EXPOSED BARRIER ISLAND AND PENINSULAS INCLUDING CAPE SAN
BLAS WILL ALSO EXPERIENCE LARGE DAMAGING WAVE ACTION AND EROSION.

NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE AS FOLLOWS...

SHELL POINT...
TODAY...HIGH 4:43 PM...LOW 11:00 AM AND 11:38 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 6:12 AM AND 5:27 PM...LOW 11:45 AM.

APALACHICOLA...
TODAY...LOW 1:09 PM...HIGH 8:22 AM AND 6:07 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 8:38 AM AND 7:01 AM...LOW 1:35 AM AND 2:02 PM.

PORT SAINT JOE...
TODAY...HIGH 12:40 PM...LOW 10:51 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 12:56 PM...LOW 10:41 PM.

PANAMA CITY...
TODAY...HIGH 12:07 PM...LOW 10:31 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 12:23 PM...LOW 10:21 PM.

DESTIN...
TODAY...HIGH 12:37 PM.
MONDAY...HIGH 12:53 PM...LOW 1:12 AM.

...RIP CURRENTS...
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY DUE TO INCREASING
SURF AND WINDS.

...TORNADO THREAT...
ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS THE FLORIDA BIG BEND
AND PANHANDLE...SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AND SOUTHWEST GEORGIA.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
COASTAL RESIDENTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND BIG BEND SHOULD EXPECT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS WITHIN 6 TO 12 HOURS...AND ALL PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETED. MANDATORY EVACUATIONS
ARE IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL SECTIONS OF WALTON...BAY...GULF AND
FRANKLIN COUNTIES. VOLUNTARY EVACUATIONS FOR RESIDENTS IN MOBILE
HOMES AND LOW LYING AREAS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE INLAND PANHANDLE
COUNTIES. RESIDENTS IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM
SURGE FLOODING OR IN INLAND RAINFALL FLOOD PRONE AREAS SHOULD HEED
THE ADVICE OF LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE BY 1130 AM EDT.

$$

BLOCK/HICKS



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