[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS84 KMOB 101112
HLSMOB
ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-101330-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
600 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005

...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE DENNIS CONTINUES TO TRACK
NORTH NORTHWEST...

...A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ALABAMA AND
NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTS...

...AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...

...AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS SPECIFIC ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS
OF THE COASTAL COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
AND FOR PORTIONS OF INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA AND SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COASTAL AREAS OF MOBILE
AND BALDWIN COUNTIES OF SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AS WELL AS ESCAMBIA...
SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN THE EXTREME WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE.  INLAND HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE
INLAND PORTIONS OF MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA...AND THE
INLAND PORTIONS OF ESCAMBIA...SANTA ROSA...AND OKALOOSA COUNTIES IN
THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE.  AN INLAND HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT
FOR CLARKE...CONECUH...ESCAMBIA...MONROE...CHOCTAW...WILCOX AND
WASHINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND FOR WAYNE...
GREENE...GEORGE...PERRY AND STONE COUNTIES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI.
AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BUTLER...CRENSHAW
AND COVINGTON COUNTIES IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA.

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...EXTREME SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE EXTREME
WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA UNTIL 200 PM

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 530 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.2 WEST. THIS IS ABOUT 175
MILES SOUTHEAST OF GULF SHORES ALABAMA.  REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DENNIS REMAINS
A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME FLUCTUATIONS
IN STRENGTH ARE LIKELY BEFORE LANDFALL.  DENNIS WAS MOVING
NORTH NORTHWEST AT 15 MPH. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE
REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER IS 931 MB...27.49 INCHES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
SHELTERS ARE OPEN IN MANY AREAS...PLEASE CONTACT YOUR LOCAL EMA
OFFICE...WATCH LOCAL TV OR LISTEN TO RADIO FOR LOCATIONS OF THESE
SHELTERS.  SOME TYPE OF EVACUATIONS HAVE BEEN ORDERED FOR ALL OF THE
COASTAL COUNTIES.  IF YOU LIVE NEAR THE WATER AND ARE ORDERED TO
EVACUATE...DO SO.  THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE AND
PEOPLE WHO WANT TO EVACUATE NEED TO DO SO IMMEDIATELY.  EVERY
HURRICANE IS DIFFERENT AND JUST BECAUSE YOU HAVE MADE IT THROUGH
OTHER STORMS WITH VERY LITTLE DAMAGE...DO NOT ASSUME THAT DENNIS WILL
BE THE SAME. DON'T BE A STATISTIC.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
ASTRONOMICAL HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR AROUND MIDDAY SUNDAY.
BECAUSE OF THE SMALL DIAMETER OF RADIUS OF MAXIMUM WINDS OF
DENNIS THE STORM SURGE VALUES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED DOWN TO
BETWEEN 8 AND 12 FEET.  THE LATEST FORECAST STILL PLACES THE
GREATEST STORM SURGE HAZARD FROM GULF SHORES EAST TO NAVARRE
BEACH. RESIDENTS OF MOBILE BAY SHOULD CONTINUE TO REMAIN
ABREAST OF THIS SITUATION...BECAUSE IF DENNIS' TRACK SHIFTS ANY
FARTHER TO THE WEST...MOBILE BAY FORECAST STORM SURGE VALUES COULD
INCREASE TO THE 8 TO 12 FEET RANGE.

...WIND IMPACTS...
GIVEN THE CURRENT TRACK AND INTENSITY FORECAST...THE WINDS FROM
DENNIS WOULD BE MUCH HIGHER THAN HURRICANE IVAN OF 2004. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS OF 40 MPH OR GREATER ARE NEARING THE COAST...
WHICH WILL MAKE DRIVING CONDITIONS HAZARDOUS. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS...75 MPH OR GREATER...WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE AREA AROUND
MIDDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH THIS EVENING.  DENNIS IS EXPECTED
TO POSSIBLY BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL.  THIS WOULD RESULT
IN EXTREME DAMAGE TO STRUCTURES. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WILL SPREAD
INTO THE INLAND COUNTIES THIS EVENING WITH THE HIGHEST WINDS BEING
NEAR THE CENTER AND JUST TO THE EAST OF DENNIS.

...RIP CURRENTS AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS...
STAY OUT OF THE WATER.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS WILL PRECLUDE
RECREATIONAL BEACH ACTIVITY. PEOPLE ARE DISCOURAGED FROM SWIMMING...
SURFING AND RECREATIONAL BOATING UNTIL DENNIS MOVES WELL EAST OF THE
AREA. DO NOT GO BACK INTO THE WATER TOO EARLY...AS RESIDUAL RIP
CURRENTS WILL REMAIN.

WIDESPREAD RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED WITH
ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 15 INCHES POSSIBLE AS DENNIS MAKES LANDFALL
AND MOVES INLAND. GROUND CONDITIONS ARE STILL VERY MOIST DUE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL FROM TROPICAL STORM CINDY AND THUNDERSTORMS
WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL DURING THE PAST WEEK. THIS WILL PROMOTE
MORE RUNOFF AND RESULT IN A DANGEROUS FLASH FLOOD SITUATION AS DENNIS
MOVES INLAND. IF FLOODING IS ENCOUNTERED...REMEMBER TO TURN AROUND
AND DON'T DROWN.

...TORNADO THREAT...
THE TORNADO THREAT HAS INCREASED OVER SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND WILL
SHIFT WEST INTO SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI LATER TODAY. USUALLY...THE
GREATEST THREAT FOR HURRICANE INDUCED TORNADOES IS IN THE OUTER
RAINBANDS NORTHEAST OF THE STORM'S CENTER. A SECOND TORNADO THREAT
WILL BE CONCENTRATED AROUND THE EYE DURING LANDFALL. OBVIOUSLY...THIS
WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON. STAY TUNED FOR POSSIBLE TORNADO WARNINGS
LATER THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TODAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT SCHEDULED HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND
830 AM.

$$

BEELER

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