[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 100839
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT SUN JUL 10 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  1AM CDT WED JUL 13 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

32.0N  89.0W      38  X  X  X 38   GULFPORT MS       42  X  X  X 42
34.5N  90.0W      11 19  X  X 30   BURAS LA          17  1  X  X 18
36.5N  90.0W       1 17  4  2 24   NEW ORLEANS LA    16  1  X  X 17
ST MARKS FL        2  X  X  1  3   NEW IBERIA LA      2  X  1  X  3
APALACHICOLA FL   14  1  X  X 15   GULF 29N 85W      27  X  X  1 28
PANAMA CITY FL    27  X  X  X 27   GULF 29N 87W      77  X  1  X 78
PENSACOLA FL      50  X  X  X 50   GULF 28N 89W       2  X  X  X  2
MOBILE AL         50  X  X  X 50

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  1AM MON TO  1PM MON
C FROM  1PM MON TO  1AM TUE
D FROM  1AM TUE TO  1AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  1AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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