[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 100241
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

30.6N  87.9W      38  X  X  X 38   BURAS LA          23  X  X  1 24
32.9N  89.0W      13 17  X  1 31   NEW ORLEANS LA    16  3  X  1 20
34.8N  89.8W       1 21  3  1 26   NEW IBERIA LA      2  3  2  1  8
ST MARKS FL        5  2  X  1  8   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  1  1  2
APALACHICOLA FL   18  1  X  X 19   GULF 29N 85W      26  X  X  X 26
PANAMA CITY FL    25  1  X  X 26   GULF 29N 87W      59  X  X  X 59
PENSACOLA FL      38  X  X  X 38   GULF 28N 89W      15  1  X  X 16
MOBILE AL         37  X  X  X 37   GULF 28N 91W       1  X  X  1  2
GULFPORT MS       32  1  X  X 33

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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