[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sat Jul 9 19:44:26 CDT 2005


WTUS84 KLIX 100043
HLSLIX
LAZ038-040-058-060>064-068>070-MSZ080>082-100330-

HURRICANE DENNIS LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
740 PM CDT SAT JUL 9 2005

...DENNIS NOW A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE...

...DENNIS COULD BE A CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE AT LANDFALL...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...THIS STATEMENT IS PRIMARILY FOR THE
FOLLOWING PARISHES...

JEFFERSON...ORLEANS...PLAQUEMINES...ST BERNARD...ST CHARLES...
ST JOHN THE BAPTIST...ST TAMMANY...AND TANGIPAHOA

AND FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN MISSISSIPPI...
HARRISON...HANCOCK...JACKSON

...WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL RIVER
EASTWARD ACROSS THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE. THE HURRICANE WARNING INCLUDES
THE ENTIRE MISSISSIPPI COAST.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS
OF 74 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM THE MOUTH OF THE PEARL
RIVER TO GRAND ISLE...INCLUDING NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS OF
WINDS 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 24
HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS OF COASTAL MISSISSIPPI SHOULD CONTINUE PREPARATIONS
FOR HURRICANE CONDITIONS...WINDS IN EXCESS OF 74 MPH AND INCREASING
TIDES...DEVELOPING ON SUNDAY. RESIDENTS OF THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...
ESPECIALLY THOSE IN LOW LYING AREAS NEAR THE COAST PRONE TO STORM
SURGE FLOODING...SHOULD FOLLOW ADVICE OF LOCAL OFFICIALS AND BE
PREPARED TO EVACUATE IF REQUESTED.

IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...RESIDENTS SHOULD PREPARE FOR
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON SUNDAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 7 PM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.9 WEST OR ABOUT 385 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF BILOXI MISSISSIPPI. DENNIS IS MOVING NORTHWEST
NEAR 14 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARDS THE NORTH NORTHWEST IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT OR SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH. DENNIS IS CATEGORY
THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR SIMPSON SCALE. STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NIGHT AND DENNIS COULD BECOME A CATEGORY 4 PRIOR
TO LANDFALL.

...WIND IMPACTS...
FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE OVER THE
COASTAL WATERS LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS...50 TO 70 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 75 MPH...WILL SPREAD OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI COASTAL COUNTIES EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. HURRICANE FORCE
WINDS...74 MPH OR GREATER...ARE POSSIBLE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND SUNDAY
EVENING IN HANCOCK AND HARRISON COUNTIES...AND LIKELY IN JACKSON
COUNTY.

ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF
45 TO 55 MPH WITH POSSIBLE GUSTS TO 70 MPH COULD OCCUR OVER THE AREA
ON SUNDAY AS THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF HURRICANE DENNIS MOVES BY
THE AREA. WIND GUSTS OF THIS MAGNITUDE MAY DOWN TREE BRANCHES
RESULTING IN DOWNED POWER LINES.


...STORM SURGE...
FOR THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...A 2 TO 4 FOOT STORM SURGE IS
LIKELY. IF THE HURRICANE LANDFALL LOCATION SHIFTS WESTWARD THERE IS A
POSSIBILITY OF A MUCH GREATER STORM SURGE VALUE...ESPECIALLY IN
JACKSON COUNTY. A STORM SURGE OF 10 TO 15 FEET IS EXPECTED NEAR AND
TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE HURRICANE MAKES LANDFALL.

FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA A 2 TO 3 FOOT STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED EAST
OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND 1 TO 2 FOOT STORM SURGE COULD OCCUR IN
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY. SOME FLOODING OF
LOW LYING AREAS OUTSIDE HURRICANE PROTECTION LEVEES IS POSSIBLE.

...RAINFALL...
SQUALLS ASSOCIATED WITH HURRICANE DENNIS ARE ANTICIPATED TO BEGIN
SUNDAY MORNING...WITH 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ON SUNDAY PRIMARILY ON
THE MISSISSIPPI COAST. LOCALLY HIGHER RAINFALL EXCEEDING 5
INCHES IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI COAST...ESPECIALLY IN
JACKSON COUNTY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL ACTION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 1030 PM CDT

$$

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