[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 092035
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  84.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT TUE JUL 12 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

29.9N  87.2W      37  1  X  X 38   PENSACOLA FL      31  4  X  X 35
32.3N  88.4W       8 23  1  X 32   MOBILE AL         27  6  X  X 33
34.2N  89.3W       X 22  3  1 26   GULFPORT MS       22  6  X  X 28
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  2  2   BURAS LA          15  2  1  X 18
VENICE FL          2  X  X  X  2   NEW ORLEANS LA     9  5  1  X 15
TAMPA FL           2  X  X  1  3   NEW IBERIA LA      1  1  1  2  5
CEDAR KEY FL       3  2  X  1  6   GULF 29N 85W      32  X  X  X 32
ST MARKS FL        8  5  1  X 14   GULF 29N 87W      45  X  X  X 45
APALACHICOLA FL   23  2  X  X 25   GULF 28N 89W      10  1  X  X 11
PANAMA CITY FL    27  2  X  X 29

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
C FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
D FROM  2PM MON TO  2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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