[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 091504
HLSMFL
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-092200-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1115 AM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005

...SPIRAL BANDS FROM DENNIS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH
FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON PRODUCING HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS AND POSSIBLE
TORNADOES...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR
PERSONS IN MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD...COLLIER...PALM BEACH...HENDRY...GLADES
AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES FROM THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE DENNIS.

...NEW INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM...ANOTHER SPIRAL BAND IS MOVING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WITH RAINFALL
RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH AND THE POSSIBILITY
OF TORNADOES.

THE TORNADO WATCH FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE LIKELY ACROSS
MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST GULF COASTAL COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH TO CAPE SABLE AND FROM
OCEAN REEF TO GOLDEN BEACH. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FOR THE LAND AREAS OF MIAMI-DADE...COLLIER...AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. THIS
INCLUDES THE METROPOLITAN AREAS OF MIAMI-DADE AND NAPLES AS WELL AS MAINLAND
MONROE COUNTY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS
AND FOR FLORIDA BAY.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA UNTIL
SUNDAY MORNING.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA UNTIL
4 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR BROWARD...PALM BEACH...HENDRY...AND GLADES
COUNTIES UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 83.8 WEST OR ABOUT 225 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI OR ABOUT
160 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT
14 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 100 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS MAKING DENNIS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
SCALE. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
IN MIAMI-DADE AND COLLIER COUNTIES...ONE SHELTER IS OPEN IN EACH COUNTY TO
ACCOMMODATE PEOPLE WHO HAVE VOLUNTARILY EVACUATED FROM MOBILE HOMES AND THOSE
WITH SPECIAL NEEDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS FROM 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAINS AND
POSSIBLE FLOODING. PERSONS WITH POTENTIAL FLOOD PROBLEMS SHOULD REMAIN WEATHER
ALERT THROUGH SUNDAY AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION SHOULD FLOOD WARNINGS
BE ISSUED.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
A MAXIMUM STORM TIDE OF 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE
GULF COAST OF COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES...INCLUDING NAPLES...MARCO
ISLAND AND EVERGLADES CITY...SOMETIME LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE EXACT HEIGHT OF
THE STORM TIDE DEPENDS UPON THE TIME OF ASTRONOMICAL HIGH AND LOW TIDE. HIGH
TIDE ON THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST WILL BE AROUND 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY A LOW TIDE
AROUND 10 PM EDT.

THE STORM TIDE MAY CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF COASTAL ROADS...ESPECIALLY PARTS OF
STATE ROADS 951 AND 92 TO MARCO ISLAND AND STATE ROAD 29 TO CHOKOLOSKEE. THERE
ALSO MAY BE FLOODING OF SOME BEACH FRONT STRUCTURES AND PERSONS LIVING ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SHOULD LISTEN TO INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL EMERGENCY
OFFICIALS. ANOTHER HIGH TIDE IS EXPECTED ON THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST AROUND 430
AM EDT SUNDAY. AT THAT TIME A SECOND STORM TIDE...THIS TIME AROUND 2 TO 4 FEET
ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL...IS POSSIBLE.

A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IS PRESENTLY OCCURRING ALONG THE
MIAMI-DADE AND BROWARD COASTS. WITH AN EBB TIDE THIS AFTERNOON...WATER LEVELS
SHOULD DECREASE TO NEAR MEAN SEA LEVEL.

...WIND IMPACTS...
DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE
OCCURRING OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO COASTAL WATERS OFF THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
COAST. OVER COLLIER...MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES AREAS OF SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE LIKELY OCCURRING IN THE STRONGER RAIN BANDS
WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH POSSIBLE.  OVER LAND THESE WINDS CAN CAUSE
POWER LINES TO BLOW DOWN...TREES TO UPROOT AND LARGE LIMBS TO BLOW OFF.

FOR MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD AND PALM BEACH COUNTIES AT 10 AM...SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE GENERALLY 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH. WINDS WILL
SLOWLY DECREASE THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. BECAUSE OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND
PREVIOUS HIGH WINDS...EVEN WIND GUSTS NEAR 40 MPH MIGHT BE ENOUGH TO BLOW
DOWN TREE LIMBS WHICH CAN CAUSE LOCALIZED POWER OUTAGES.

ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA INCLUDING BROWARD...PALM BEACH...HENDRY...
AND GLADES COUNTIES...WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH SQUALLS IN
THE SPIRAL BANDS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 64 KNOTS ARE MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE. THESE WINDS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING FINALLY DIMINISHING TONIGHT.

IN THE MIAMI DADE COUNTY COASTAL WATERS...MAINLY SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 34 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON IN ASSOCIATION WITH SQUALLS IN THE SPIRAL BANDS.

ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING A HIGH RISK OF DEADLY RIP CURRENTS...IS LIKELY
AT BEACHES THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PERSONS SHOULD GO ONLY TO GUARDED
BEACHES.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS...
HEAVIEST REPORTED 24 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS AS OF THIS MORNING INCLUDE NEARLY 5
INCHES IN THE IMMOKALEE AREA OF NORTH COLLIER COUNTY AND OVER 4 INCHES IN PARTS
OF WESTERN HENDRY AND WESTERN GLADES COUNTIES.

MEASURED 24 HOUR RAINFALL AMOUNTS ENDING AT 8 AM THIS MORNING INCLUDE...
3.76 INCHES AT FORT LAUDERDALE...2.78 INCHES AT PEMBROKE PINES...2.33 INCHES
AT NAPLES...2.13 INCHES AT MIAMI AND 0.42 INCHES AT WEST PALM BEACH.

AN ADDITIONAL 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA
THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY. LOCAL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES ARE STILL
POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL COUNTIES. A FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS...
QUICK FORMING FAST MOVING TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ANYWHERE IN
SOUTH FLORIDA ESPECIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SPIRAL BANDS THAT WILL BE MOVING
ACROSS THE REGION. SOUTH FLORIDA WILL REMAIN IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF
HURRICANE DENNIS FOR MOST OF THIS AFTERNOON WHICH IS THE MOST FAVORED AREA FOR
TORNADOES. A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE DENNIS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MIAMI WEATHER
FORECAST OFFICE AROUND 6 PM EDT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
PLEASE GO TO OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE
GRAPHICAL HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ICON.

$$

LUSHINE

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