[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 091435
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT JUL 09 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.8 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM EDT TUE JUL 12 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

28.7N  86.4W      49  X  X  X 49   APALACHICOLA FL   34  2  X  1 37
31.2N  87.7W       3 29  X  X 32   PANAMA CITY FL    32  6  X  X 38
33.6N  89.0W       X  9 15  X 24   PENSACOLA FL      15 21  X  X 36
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  1  1  X  2   MOBILE AL          4 26  X  X 30
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  1  1  2   GULFPORT MS        3 21  X  X 24
KEY WEST FL       24  X  X  X 24   BURAS LA           4 12  X  X 16
MARCO ISLAND FL    2  X  X  X  2   NEW ORLEANS LA     1 10  1  X 12
FT MYERS FL        3  X  X  X  3   NEW IBERIA LA      X  2  X  1  3
VENICE FL         12  X  X  X 12   GULF 29N 85W      44  X  X  X 44
TAMPA FL           7  X  X  X  7   GULF 29N 87W      42  1  X  1 44
CEDAR KEY FL      11  2  X  X 13   GULF 28N 89W      11  3  X  X 14
ST MARKS FL       17  7  X  X 24

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
C FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
D FROM  8AM MON TO  8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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