[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 091040
HLSMFL
AMZ610-630-650-651-670-671-FLZ063-066>075-GMZ656-657-676-091600-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT...CORRECTED RAINFALL TOTALS AND STORM DISTANCE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
639 AM EDT SAT JUL 9 2005

...SPIRAL BANDS FROM DENNIS TO MOVE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY PRODUCING
HEAVY RAINS AND STRONG WINDS...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR
PERSONS IN SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THE EFFECTS OF HURRICANE DENNIS. ALL PERSONS IN
SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE
DENNIS.

...NEW INFORMATION...
A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM TODAY. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE LIKELY ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA TODAY WITH
LOCAL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST
GULF COASTAL COUNTIES. RAINFALL TOTALS THROUGH 6 AM INCLUDE ALMOST 5 INCHES IN
THE IMMOKALEE AREA OF NORTH COLLIER COUNTY.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT 5 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA SOUTH OF BONITA BEACH TO CAPE SABLE AND FROM
OCEAN REEF TO GOLDEN BEACH. AN INLAND TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FOR THE LAND AREAS OF MIAMI-DADE...COLLIER...AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES. THIS
INCLUDES THE METROPOLITAN AREAS OF MIAMI-DADE AND NAPLES AS WELL AS MAINLAND
MONROE COUNTY. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN
EFFECT FOR FLORIDA BAY.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA UNTIL
SUNDAY MORNING.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA UNTIL
9 AM TODAY BUT IT WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY.

A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR BROWARD...PALM BEACH...HENDRY...AND GLADES
COUNTIES TODAY.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 5 AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.9 WEST OR ABOUT 220 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MIAMI OR ABOUT 170
MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES. DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED
TO 90 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAKING DENNIS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. HOWEVER IT IS EXPECTED TO RE-STRENGTHEN DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
MIAMI-DADE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS URGED A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR
PERSONS LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND THOSE SPECIAL NEEDS PERSONS DEPENDENT ON
POWER SUCH AS THOSE USING OXYGEN. ONE SHELTER HAS BEEN OPENED TO ACCOMMODATE
THESE PEOPLE.

COLLIER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS URGED A VOLUNTARY EVACUATION FOR
AREAS WEST AND SOUTH OF U.S. 41...FOR PERSONS LIVING IN MOBILE HOMES AND
SPECIAL NEEDS PERSONS. PALMETTO RIDGE HIGH SCHOOL IS OPEN AS A SHELTER.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
SUSTAINED WINDS OR FREQUENT GUSTS FROM 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE EXPECTED TODAY.
WIND GUSTS AS HIGH AS 67 MPH HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED AT FLAMINGO IN EXTREME
SOUTH MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY.

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY RAINS AND
POSSIBLE FLOODING. PERSONS WITH POTENTIAL FLOOD PROBLEMS SHOULD REMAIN WEATHER
ALERT THROUGH SUNDAY AND BE READY FOR QUICK ACTION SHOULD FLOOD WARNINGS
BE ISSUED.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
ALONG THE GULF COAST OF COLLIER AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES...INCLUDING
MARCO ISLAND...NAPLES AND EVERGLADES CITY A MAXIMUM STORM TIDE IS EXPECTED TO BE
4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. AS DENNIS MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST
GULF OF MEXICO...THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST WINDS BLOWING OFFSHORE WILL ACTUALLY
RESULT IN BELOW NORMAL WATER LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST EARLY TODAY.
HOWEVER...THE WIND WILL BEGIN TO BLOW ONSHORE AROUND MID AFTERNOON TODAY...
CAUSING WATER LEVELS TO INCREASE. THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE ON THE SOUTHWEST GULF
COAST WILL BE AROUND 3 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY A LOW TIDE AROUND 10 PM EDT WHICH WILL
LESSEN THE IMPACT OF THE WIND DRIVEN WATER SOMEWHAT. WATER LEVELS WILL REACH A
MAXIMUM STORM TIDE AROUND 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
THE STORM TIDE MAY CAUSE SOME FLOODING OF COASTAL ROADS...ESPECIALLY PARTS OF
STATE ROADS 951 AND 92 TO MARCO ISLAND AND STATE ROAD 29 TO CHOKOLOSKEE. THERE
ALSO MAY BE FLOODING OF SOME BEACH FRONT STRUCTURES AND PERSONS LIVING ALONG THE
IMMEDIATE GULF COAST SHOULD LISTEN TO INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL EMERGENCY
OFFICIALS. ANOTHER HIGH TIDE IS EXPECTED ON THE SOUTHWEST GULF COAST AROUND 430
AM EDT SUNDAY. AT THAT TIME ANOTHER STORM TIDE AROUND 4 TO 5 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA
LEVEL IS POSSIBLE.

ON THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST IN DADE AND BROWARD COUNTIES...ONSHORE FLOW IS
PRODUCING TIDES ABOUT 1 TO 1.5 FEET ABOVE EXPECTED LEVELS. ANOTHER HIGH TIDE
WILL OCCUR AROUND 11 AM TODAY WITH STORM TIDE EXPECTED TO REACH ABOUT 2 TO 2.5
FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL. THIS WILL RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF SOME BEACH
FRONT STRUCTURES AND BEACH ACCESS ROUTES.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE...
MAINLY IN THE LOWER RANGE OF 39 TO 57 MPH...ARE ALREADY MOVING INTO
THE GULF COASTAL WATERS OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. FOR THE LAND AREAS...SUSTAINED
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE OCCURRING AT FLAMINGO IN MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY
AND WILL BE SPREADING SLOWLY NORTH ALONG THE COLLIER COUNTY COAST.
SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS IN THE MARCO ISLAND AND NAPLES
AREAS WILL BEGIN THIS MORNING AND LAST MOST OF THE DAY BEFORE
DIMINISHING THIS EVENING. FREQUENT GUSTS TO TROPICAL STORM FORCE ARE EXPECTED
TODAY FOR INLAND AREAS...ESPECIALLY AS SPIRAL BANDS MOVE THROUGH.

FOR MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE...MAINLY
39 TO 57 MPH...WILL CONTINUE WITH PASSING SQUALLS IN THE SPIRAL BANDS. TROPICAL
STORM FORCE WINDS ARE STRONG ENOUGH TO BLOW DOWN SMALLER TREES AND POWER LINES
CAUSING POWER OUTAGES.

ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH FLORIDA INCLUDING BROWARD...PALM BEACH...HENDRY...
AND GLADES COUNTIES...WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH ARE LIKELY WITH SQUALLS IN
THE SPIRAL BANDS THROUGH TODAY.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS OF 34 TO 64 KNOTS ARE MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS WITH HIGHER GUSTS POSSIBLE WELL OFFSHORE. THESE
WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TODAY AND THIS EVENING FINALLY DIMINISHING TONIGHT.
IN THE MIAMI DADE COUNTY COASTAL WATERS...MAINLY SOUTH OF GOLDEN BEACH...
FREQUENT TROPICAL STORM FORCE GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 34 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TODAY...PARTICULARLY ASSOCIATED WITH SQUALLS IN THE SPIRAL BANDS. MARINERS
SHOULD HAVE ALREADY SECURED THEIR BOATS AND ARE STRONGLY DISCOURAGED FROM
LEAVING SAFE HARBOR TODAY ON EITHER COAST. ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING A
HIGH RISK OF DEADLY RIP CURRENTS...IS LIKELY ON BEACHES TODAY AND PERSONS SHOULD
SHOULD STAY AWAY FROM THE SURF. SEAS WELL IN EXCESS OF 10 TO 14 FEET ARE LIKELY
ACROSS THE OFFSHORE WATERS OF MAINLAND MONROE AND COLLIER COUNTIES ALL DAY
TODAY LASTING INTO TONIGHT WITH SEAS OF UP TO 9 FEET POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE
INCLUDING THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS OF MIAMI-DADE...BROWARD AND PALM BEACH
COUNTIES.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS...
REPORTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO 6 AM EDT SATURDAY INCLUDE NEARLY 5
INCHES IN THE IMMOKALEE AREA OF NORTH COLLIER COUNTY AND OVER 4 INCHES
IN PARTS OF WESTERN HENDRY COUNTY. REPORTED RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN METRO
MIAMI-DADE AND BROWARD COUNTIES HAVE RANGED FROM 1 TO 3 INCHES. ONLY AROUND A
HALF INCH OR LESS HAS FALLEN IN PARTS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY AND NEAR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. MUCH MORE IS EXPECTED AS DENNIS CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHWEST TODAY.
AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH SUNDAY.
ADDITIONAL LOCAL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES ARE STILL POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY IN
THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL COUNTIES. A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR
ALL OF SOUTH FLORIDA.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS...
QUICK FORMING FAST MOVING TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE TODAY ANYWHERE IN
SOUTH FLORIDA ESPECIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE SPIRAL BANDS THAT WILL BE MOVING
ACROSS THE REGION. SOUTH FLORIDA WILL REMAIN IN THE RIGHT FRONT QUADRANT OF
HURRICANE DENNIS FOR MOST OF TODAY WHICH IS THE MOST FAVORED AREA FOR TORNADOES.
A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM TODAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE DENNIS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MIAMI WEATHER
FORECAST OFFICE AROUND 11 AM EDT.

FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT
PLEASE GO TO OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE
GRAPHICAL HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT ICON.

$$

PFOST
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