[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 090236
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT MON JUL 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

26.3N  84.9W      48  X  X  X 48   CEDAR KEY FL       3 16  1  X 20
28.5N  86.2W       5 26  X  1 32   ST MARKS FL        X 18  4  X 22
30.9N  87.5W       X  9 14  1 24   APALACHICOLA FL    1 24  2  X 27
MUHA 230N 824W    99  X  X  X 99   PANAMA CITY FL     X 23  4  X 27
MARATHON FL       33  X  X  X 33   PENSACOLA FL       X 14 11  X 25
COCOA BEACH FL     X  2  1  X  3   MOBILE AL          X  7 14  1 22
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  4  1  1  6   GULFPORT MS        X  5 13  1 19
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  3  4  1  8   BURAS LA           X  5  9  1 15
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  2  3  5   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  2  9  2 13
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  4  3  7
KEY WEST FL       68  X  X  X 68   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
MARCO ISLAND FL   25  1  X  X 26   GULF 29N 85W       4 26  1  X 31
FT MYERS FL       22  1  X  X 23   GULF 29N 87W       1 25  1  X 27
VENICE FL         27  1  X  X 28   GULF 28N 89W       X 10  3  X 13
TAMPA FL          14  7  X  X 21   GULF 28N 91W       X  1  2  1  4

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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