[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 082046
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI JUL 08 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  81.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT MON JUL 11 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

25.7N  84.4W      49  X  X  X 49   VENICE FL         27  2  X  X 29
27.8N  85.6W       8 24  1  X 33   TAMPA FL          11 11  X  1 23
30.0N  86.7W       X 11 12  1 24   CEDAR KEY FL       2 17  2  X 21
MUCF 221N 805W    99  X  X  X 99   ST MARKS FL        X 13  8  1 22
MUSN 216N 826W     2  X  X  X  2   APALACHICOLA FL    X 20  5  1 26
MUHA 230N 824W    84  X  X  X 84   PANAMA CITY FL     X 15  9  1 25
MARATHON FL       54  X  X  X 54   PENSACOLA FL       X  5 16  1 22
MIAMI FL           4  X  X  X  4   MOBILE AL          X  1 16  3 20
W PALM BEACH FL    1  1  X  X  2   GULFPORT MS        X  1 13  3 17
FT PIERCE FL       1  2  X  X  3   BURAS LA           X  1 11  2 14
COCOA BEACH FL     1  3  1  X  5   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  8  5 13
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  5  3  X  8   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  2  6  8
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  3  6  1 10   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  3  3
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  3  4  7   GULF 29N 85W       1 26  1  1 29
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  1  2  3   GULF 29N 87W       X 19  5  1 25
KEY WEST FL       73  X  X  X 73   GULF 28N 89W       X  6  6  1 13
MARCO ISLAND FL   33  1  X  X 34   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  3  2  5
FT MYERS FL       26  1  X  X 27

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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