[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 080239
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

23.0N  81.2W      48  X  X  X 48   MARCO ISLAND FL    1 24  1  X 26
24.8N  83.1W       5 29  X  X 34   FT MYERS FL        X 20  3  1 24
26.8N  84.6W       X 14 13  1 28   VENICE FL          X 16  8  X 24
MUGM 200N 751W     2  X  X  X  2   TAMPA FL           X  6 13  2 21
MUCM 214N 779W    70  X  X  X 70   CEDAR KEY FL       X  1 14  4 19
MUCF 221N 805W    58  X  X  X 58   ST MARKS FL        X  X 10  9 19
MUSN 216N 826W    19  2  X  X 21   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X 14  7 21
MUHA 230N 824W    35  3  X  X 38   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X 11 10 21
MUAN 219N 850W     1  4  1  1  7   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  4 15 19
MYAK 241N 776W     3  1  X  X  4   MOBILE AL          X  X  2 15 17
MYGF 266N 787W     X  2  1  1  4   GULFPORT MS        X  X  1 15 16
MARATHON FL       20 13  X  X 33   BURAS LA           X  X  1 13 14
MIAMI FL           2 15  1  X 18   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X 12 12
W PALM BEACH FL    X  9  3  X 12   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  7  7
FT PIERCE FL       X  4  6  1 11   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  X  2  2
COCOA BEACH FL     X  2  7  2 11   GULF 29N 85W       X  X 18  5 23
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  7  4 11   GULF 29N 87W       X  X 12  9 21
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  4  6 10   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  5 10 15
SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  6  6   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  8  8
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  3  3
KEY WEST FL       22 14  X  1 37

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM FRI TO  8AM SAT
C FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
D FROM  8PM SAT TO  8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER BEVEN


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