[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 072041
SPFAT4
HURRICANE DENNIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT THU JUL 07 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.6 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM EDT SUN JUL 10 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

22.3N  80.5W      47  X  X  X 47   SAVANNAH GA        X  X  X  6  6
24.2N  82.5W       4 30  X  X 34   CHARLESTON SC      X  X  X  2  2
26.0N  84.0W       X 15 11  1 27   KEY WEST FL        5 29  X  X 34
MKJP 179N 768W    99  X  X  X 99   MARCO ISLAND FL    X 21  4  1 26
MKJS 185N 779W    16  X  X  X 16   FT MYERS FL        X 15  7  1 23
MWCG 193N 814W     2  X  X  X  2   VENICE FL          X  9 13  1 23
MUGM 200N 751W    12  X  X  X 12   TAMPA FL           X  2 16  2 20
MUCM 214N 779W    61  X  X  X 61   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X 12  7 19
MUCF 221N 805W    48  X  X  X 48   ST MARKS FL        X  X  5 13 18
MUSN 216N 826W    16  6  1  X 23   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  7 13 20
MUHA 230N 824W    18 16  X  X 34   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  4 16 20
MUAN 219N 850W     X  6  2  1  9   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  1 17 18
MYAK 241N 776W     5  2  1  X  8   MOBILE AL          X  X  X 16 16
MYNN 251N 775W     1  2  X  X  3   GULFPORT MS        X  X  X 14 14
MYGF 266N 787W     X  3  3  X  6   BURAS LA           X  X  X 13 13
MARATHON FL        5 26  X  1 32   NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X 11 11
MIAMI FL           X 18  1  1 20   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  X  6  6
W PALM BEACH FL    X  8  5  1 14   GULF 29N 85W       X  X 12 10 22
FT PIERCE FL       X  3  8  1 12   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  5 15 20
COCOA BEACH FL     X  1  8  3 12   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  1 13 14
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  6  6 12   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  X  7  7
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  2  9 11   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
C FROM  2AM SAT TO  2PM SAT
D FROM  2PM SAT TO  2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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