[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

[EMWIN Server]

WTUS82 KMFL 071515
HLSMFL
AMZ630-651-671-FLZ069-070-073>075-GMZ656-657-676-071900-

HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT....CORRRECTED TO INCLUDE MARINE ZONES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1114 AM EDT THU JUL 7 2005

...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTION TO BE TAKEN FOR RESIDENTS OF
COLLIER...MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
AT 11 AM EDT...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PORTIONS
OF THE SOUTH FLORIDA PENINSULA FROM CAPE SABLE TO BONITA BEACH AND
FROM OCEAN REEF TO GOLDEN BEACH. THIS INCLUDES THE METROPOLITAN
AREAS OF MIAMI-DADE AND NAPLES AS WELL AS MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY.
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR FLORIDA BAY AND THE FLORIDA KEYS.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 11 AM EDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.6 WEST OR ABOUT 615 MILES SOUTHEAST OF MIAMI
OR ABOUT 690 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NAPLES.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
INCLUDING WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE NEXT
36 HOURS. RESIDENTS AND VISITORS IN METROPOLITAN AREAS OF
COLLIER AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES AND IN MAINLAND MONROE COUNTY SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF HURRICANE DENNIS AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO SOUTH
FLORIDA. THIS CAN BE DONE THROUGH NOAA WEATHER RADIO AS WELL AS
LOCAL TELEVISION AND RADIO.

...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
A STORM SURGE OF 1 TO 2 FEET ABOVE NORMAL IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE
COASTAL SECTIONS OF COLLIER...MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES
MOST LIKELY FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY MORNING.

...WIND IMPACTS...
SUSTAINED WINDS OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE...39 TO 73 MPH...ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE WATCH AREA...ESPECIALLY OVER WATER...FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. ON LAND
THESE WINDS ARE STRONG ENOUGH TO CAUSE LARGE TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES
TO BE FELLED...CAUSING DISRUPTION OF POWER.

...PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE/TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...
AT MARCO ISLAND...NAPLES AND EVERGLADES CITY...THE MAXIMUM CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY OF WIND SPEEDS FROM 39 TO 57 MPH OCCURRING IS 63 PERCENT.
AT THESE SAME LOCATIONS THERE IS A MAXIMUM CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY OF
26 PERCENT THAT WIND SPEEDS FROM 58 TO 73 MPH WILL OCCUR AND A 13 PERCENT
CHANCE THAT HURRICANE WIND SPEEDS OF 74 MPH OR GREATER WILL OCCUR. THE MOST
LIKELY TIME WHEN THESE WINDS SPEEDS WILL OCCUR IS BETWEEN 8 PM FRIDAY
NIGHT AND 8 AM SATURDAY MORNING.

IN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY THE AREA FROM HOMESTEAD TO MIAMI TO MIAMI BEACH
TO AVENTURA THE MAXIMUM CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY OF WIND SPEEDS FROM
39 TO 57 MPH OCCURRING IS 43 PERCENT. FOR THESE SAME LOCATIONS THE
PROBABILITY OF WIND SPEEDS FROM 58 TO 73 MPH OCCURRING IS 13 PERCENT
AND A THERE IS A 5 PERCENT CHANCE FOR HURRICANE WIND SPEEDS OF 74 MPH
OR GREATER. THE MOST LIKELY TIME WHEN THESE WINDS SPEEDS WILL OCCUR IS
BETWEEN 8 PM FRIDAY NIGHT AND 8 AM SATURDAY MORNING.

...LOCAL MARINE IMPACTS...
WINDS IN THE GULF OF MEXICO AND ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...ESPECIALLY
FROM CAPE SABLE TO BONITA BEACH AND FROM OCEAN REEF TO GOLDEN BEACH
WILL INCREASE FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY...POSSIBLY REACHING
TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH FRIDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING SATURDAY. MARINERS
IN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA ARE URGED TO SECURE THEIR VESSELS OR
MOVE THEM TO SAFE HARBOR AND THOSE ELSEWHERE IN SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD
MONITOR CONDITIONS CLOSELY. ROUGH SURF CONDITIONS...INCLUDING A HIGH
RISK OF RIP CURRENTS...IS LIKELY ON BEACHES AND PERSONS SHOULD
SWIM AT GUARDED BEACHES ONLY.

...LOCAL FLOOD IMPACTS...
TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS OF 7 INCHES
ARE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT SOUTH FLORIDA. THIS COULD CAUSE LOCALIZED
FLOODING. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY BEGIN FRIDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH
SATURDAY.

...LOCAL TORNADO IMPACTS...
THERE IS A THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES IN THE OUTER RAINBANDS FROM
FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ON HURRICANE DENNIS WILL BE ISSUED BY THE MIAMI
WEATHER FORECAST OFFICE AROUND 2 PM EDT.  FOR A GRAPHICAL REPRESENTATION
OF THIS HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT GO TO OUR WEB SITE AT
WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO AND CLICK ON THE GRAPHICAL HURRICANE LOCAL
STATEMENT ICON.

$$

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