[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Tue Jul 5 21:26:42 CDT 2005


WTNT73 KNHC 060226
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM CINDY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT TUE JUL 05 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF CINDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  90.1 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT FRI JUL  8 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

32.1N  87.6W      33  X  X  X 33   NANTUCKET MA       X  X  X  3  3
33.7N  85.2W       5 14  2  X 21   HYANNIS MA         X  X  X  3  3
35.1N  82.1W       X  2 12  2 16   BOSTON MA          X  X  X  3  3
FT PIERCE FL       X  X  1  1  2   PORTLAND ME        X  X  X  2  2
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  1  2  3   TAMPA FL           X  X  2  1  3
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  3  2  5   CEDAR KEY FL       X  2  3  1  6
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  2  6  1  9   ST MARKS FL        1  8  2  1 12
SAVANNAH GA        X  2  8  2 12   APALACHICOLA FL    2  8  1  X 11
CHARLESTON SC      X  X  8  4 12   PANAMA CITY FL     6  7  1  X 14
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  5  6 11   PENSACOLA FL      28  X  X  X 28
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  2  9 11   MOBILE AL         48  X  X  X 48
MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  1  9 10   GULFPORT MS       64  X  X  X 64
CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  9  9   BURAS LA          99  X  X  X 99
NORFOLK VA         X  X  X 10 10   NEW ORLEANS LA    99  X  X  X 99
OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  9  9   NEW IBERIA LA      7  X  X  X  7
ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  9  9   GULF 29N 85W       1  5  2  X  8
NEW YORK CITY NY   X  X  X  7  7   GULF 29N 87W      11  2  X  X 13
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  X  X  5  5   GULF 28N 89W      40  X  X  X 40
PROVIDENCE RI      X  X  X  4  4   GULF 28N 91W      99  X  X  X 99

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM WED TO  7AM THU
C FROM  7AM THU TO  7PM THU
D FROM  7PM THU TO  7PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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