[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 050226
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT MON JUL 04 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  89.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT THU JUL  7 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

27.6N  90.9W      43  X  X  X 43   NEW IBERIA LA      5 22  1  X 28
29.4N  91.2W      13 16  1  X 30   PORT ARTHUR TX     1 15  2  1 19
31.0N  90.7W       X 17  4  2 23   GALVESTON TX       1  9  2  2 14
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  2  2   FREEPORT TX        X  5  3  2 10
CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  2  2   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  1  1  3  5
ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  5  5   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  X  2  2
APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  1  5  6   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  1  4  5
PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  2  6  8   GULF 29N 87W       X  1  5  4 10
PENSACOLA FL       X  1  6  5 12   GULF 28N 89W      16  4  1  X 21
MOBILE AL          X  4  8  4 16   GULF 28N 91W      38  1  X  X 39
GULFPORT MS        X 10  6  3 19   GULF 28N 93W      21  4  1  X 26
BURAS LA           5 14  2  1 22   GULF 28N 95W       1  4  2  2  9
NEW ORLEANS LA     3 18  2  1 24   GULF 27N 96W       X  X  1  2  3

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM TUE TO  7AM WED
C FROM  7AM WED TO  7PM WED
D FROM  7PM WED TO  7PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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