[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT73 KNHC 040242
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SUN JUL 03 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.5 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  7PM CDT WED JUL  6 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

21.1N  90.1W      41  X  X  X 41   NEW IBERIA LA      X  X  1  9 10
22.9N  91.8W       2 27  X  X 29   PORT ARTHUR TX     X  X  1 12 13
25.0N  93.3W       X  9 14  1 24   GALVESTON TX       X  X  3 11 14
MMCZ 205N 869W    36  X  X  X 36   FREEPORT TX        X  X  4 11 15
MZBZ 175N 883W    12  X  X  X 12   PORT O CONNOR TX   X  X  5 10 15
MMSO 238N 982W     X  X  4  5  9   CORPUSCHRISTI TX   X  X  4 10 14
MMTM 222N 979W     X  X  2  4  6   BROWNSVILLE TX     X  X  8  7 15
MMTX 210N 974W     X  X  1  2  3   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  3  3
MMFR 185N 926W     1  X  X  1  2   GULF 28N 89W       X  X  1  6  7
MMMD 210N 897W    44  X  X  X 44   GULF 28N 91W       X  X  4  8 12
PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  2  2   GULF 28N 93W       X  X  8  8 16
MOBILE AL          X  X  X  3  3   GULF 28N 95W       X  X  8  9 17
GULFPORT MS        X  X  X  5  5   GULF 27N 96W       X  X 11  6 17
BURAS LA           X  X  X  7  7   GULF 25N 96W       X  2 13  3 18
NEW ORLEANS LA     X  X  X  8  8

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  7PM MON TO  7AM TUE
C FROM  7AM TUE TO  7PM TUE
D FROM  7PM TUE TO  7PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  7PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER STEWART


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