[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 030831
SPFAT4
HURRICANE EPSILON PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT DEC 03 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF EPSILON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  45.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE DEC  6 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

35.4N  41.4W      22  1  X  1 24   35.9N  36.2W       1  9  3  2 15
35.7N  38.8W      10  5  1  1 17

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH


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