[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Wed Aug 31 15:26:33 CDT 2005


WTNT73 KNHC 312026
SPFAT3
TROPICAL STORM LEE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED AUG 31 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF LEE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  49.7 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SAT SEP  3 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

34.0N  49.0W      28  1  X  1 30   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  X  2  2
35.0N  49.5W      18  3  1  1 23   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  X  2  2
36.0N  50.0W      10  6  2  1 19   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  X  X  2  2
SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER AVILA


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