[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Mon Aug 29 00:03:16 CDT 2005


WTNT73 KNHC 290502
SPFAT3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SUN AUG 28 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  47.4 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST WED AUG 31 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

18.1N  50.7W      50  X  X  X 50   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X  3  3
19.2N  52.8W      10 23  X  X 33   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X  2  2
20.4N  54.8W       X 14 11  1 26   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  3  3
TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X  2  2

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM MON TO  8AM TUE
C FROM  8AM TUE TO  8PM TUE
D FROM  8PM TUE TO  8PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER FRANKLIN


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