[Tropical] Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary

[EMWIN Server]

ABNT20 KNHC 281510
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT SUN AUG 28 2005

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON CATEGORY FIVE
HURRICANE KATRINA...LOCATED OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
ABOUT 225 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI
RIVER.

DATA FROM A NOAA BUOY INDICATE THAT A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE
ACCOMPANIED BY A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS CENTERED ABOUT 950 MILES
EAST OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS WELL-ORGANIZED AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS APPEAR TO BE SOMEWHAT FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT.
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR MONDAY AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 MPH.

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE REPORTS INDICATE THAT A WELL-ORGANIZED
TROPICAL WAVE ACCOMPANIED BY A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE HAS MOVED OFF
THE COAST OF AFRICA AND IS NOW LOCATED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION AT ANY TIME TODAY OR MONDAY AS IT MOVES TOWARD
THE WEST AT 15 MPH.

A BROAD AND ILL-DEFINED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 475
MILES NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.  SHOWER ACTIVITY
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM IS POORLY ORGANIZED...AND
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION.

ELSEWHERE... TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
MONDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA

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