[Tropical] Hurricane Local Statement

EMWIN Server emwin at nashvilleweather.net
Sun Aug 28 06:12:29 CDT 2005


WTUS84 KJAN 281112
HLSJAN
MSZ025>033-036>039-042>066-072>074-281700-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
HURRICANE KATRINA LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
610 AM CDT SUN AUG 28 2005

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE KATRINA CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AND HEAD FOR
THE CENTRAL GULF COAST REGION...

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT APPLIES TO PEOPLE IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS...
INLAND HURRICANE WATCHES HAVE BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI...AND INLAND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES HAVE BEEN POSTED FOR
MUCH OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN MISSISSIPPI.

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST
FROM MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA EASTWARD TO THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA
BORDER...INCLUDING THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS AND LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FROM
EAST OF THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER TO DESTIN FLORIDA...AND FROM WEST
OF MORGAN CITY TO INTRACOASTAL CITY LOUISIANA.

...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 4 AM CDT...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.4 WEST OR ABOUT 275 MILES SOUTH
SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. KATRINA IS MOVING
TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
NORTHWEST EXPECTED LATER TODAY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR
145 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES KATRINA A DANGEROUS CATEGORY
FOUR STORM ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. KATRINA COULD BECOME AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE TONIGHT.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
KATRINA IS CURRENTLY FORECAST TO MAKE LANDFALL OVER SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA AS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE MONDAY MORNING.
WHILE THE HURRICANE WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES INLAND...IT WILL LIKELY
REMAIN A HURRICANE WELL INTO SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...AND A STRONG
TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES INTO NORTHERN MISSISSIPPI.

PEOPLE SHOULD BEGIN TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS NOW FOR THE POTENTIAL FOR
VERY STRONG...DAMAGING WINDS. LOOSE OBJECTS OUTDOORS SHOULD BE MOVED
INSIDE. PREPARE FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF PROLONGED POWER OUTAGES.
PEOPLE RESIDING IN HOMES THAT ARE NOT WELL CONSTRUCTED MAY WANT TO
CONSIDER ALTERNATIVE LOCATIONS TO RIDE THE PASSAGE OF THE STORM
OUT...PARTICULARLY OVER AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND EAST OF
INTERSTATE 55 WHERE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS COULD OCCUR.

...INLAND WIND IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST TRACK...SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS GREATER THAN 40 MPH COULD AFFECT THE AREA ALONG AND
EAST OF A NATCHEZ TO VICKSBURG TO EUPORA LINE...WITH GUSTS IN
EXCESS OF HURRICANE FORCE...74 MPH...POSSIBLE. WITHIN THIS
AREA...SUSTAINED HURRICANE FORCE WINDS GREATER THAN 74 MPH COULD
OCCUR SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 55. THE
STRONGEST WINDS WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI MONDAY
MORNING...AND SPREAD NORTH INTO THE HIGHWAY 82 CORRIDOR BY LATE
MONDAY NIGHT.

IT IS IMPORTANT TO RECOGNIZE THAT WITH THE LANDFALL OF KATRINA STILL
MORE THAN 24 HOURS AWAY...SO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES COULD STILL OCCUR
TO THE FORECAST TRACK. A TRACK FARTHER TO THE WEST WOULD CAUSE THE
STRONGEST WINDS AND HEAVIEST RAIN TO SHIFT FARTHER WEST AND
OVERSPREAD THE AREA TOWARD THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER...WHILE A TRACK
FARTHER EAST WOULD CAUSE THE WORST WEATHER TO BE CONFINED TO EASTERN
MISSISSIPPI.

...INLAND FLOODING IMPACTS...
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALIZED
GREATER AMOUNTS...COULD OCCUR IN THE AREA ALONG AND TO THE EAST OF
THE TRACK. THIS COULD CAUSE URBAN FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING OF
SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.

...PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM/HURRICANE CONDITIONS...
THE EXPERIMENTAL PROBABILITY OF TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ASSOCIATED
WITH KATRINA FOR JACKSON IS 65 PERCENT. THE PROBABILITY OF HURRICANE
FORCE WINDS IS 15 PERCENT.

...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED BY NOON CDT.

$$

CRAVEN

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