[Tropical] Storm Strike Probability Bulletin

[EMWIN Server]

WTNT74 KNHC 172031
SPFAT4
TROPICAL STORM IRENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  53
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED AUG 17 2005

PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS

AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 38.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.3 WEST

CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST SAT AUG 20 2005

LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E

47.1N  46.9W      26  5  X  X 31   CAPE RACE NFLD     4  X  X  X  4
55.5N  40.5W       X 12  X  X 12   HIBERNIA OILFLD   24  3  X  X 27

COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
C FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
D FROM  2PM FRI TO  2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT

FORECASTER PASCH/COBB


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